I was a campaigner in Taor Cairo square in 2011, so I've been continuing with Sudan and Algerian's revolutionary warning. I know exactly what might go wrong in the days ahead.
There is a risk of making too much mistake. The protesters were able to control the public place in millions of Algiers and Khartoum, but now the political activists and close politicians are becoming aware of the limited resources. shape. How should they run the centers?
The Sudanese and Algerians – unlike Egypt since eight years ago – seem to be more interesting. They recognize that the meaning of the intervention must be to protect all forms of long-term power together with their master in their profession, even though the military generally need to be in place. involvement.
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This should be sufficient to prevent any understanding that may exist in terms of romantic, cursive and unreasonable assumption that the weapons could be delivered to the public that are t future pressures, of getting quiet, “democratic”.
The history of the Arab Revolution has been silly and brutal – but only when the generals stood out. Putting the army in control of the intervening period after a popular rebellion makes the nation surrender to the will of the troops and an interesting idea of the landmark. T . Later, anyone who opposes the conflicts of the troops will be shortlisted as a disorder.
Larger Sudan seems to be under threat from Egypt, where the army stopped on Hosni Mubarak after great massacre 2011 and forced the country to run very violently and optimally. T in Egypt's history. This was followed by an unprecedented form of general accession which relieved hope for any change.
The Egyptian revolution emphasized a democratic ambition among Arab nations, but after some difficulties, Egypt's armor became a real inspiration for all Arab people. They have provided a plan for how there is a violent uprising and power retention.
In Algeria, General Ahmed Salah's Bank is linked to the constitution and rule of law in negotiating the path for limited change within the department's levels. At the same time, the general Sudas have ripped up the 2005 constitution, laying out a state of emergency, bodies and founding a military council to replace President Omar al-Bashir who replaced it. caught.
It is true that there are people in the Arab public, who have made the law to value the situation of the general within the ruling government. For many, it is not just the army that is fighting in the army, but also the chief commander (even above the chosen leader, who does not) who will lead the country at times of despair. Both Sudan and Algeria don't go down to the Syrian chaos as their seniors do what they do. But their job must stop there and they have to go no further.
It is not the end of Abdelaziz Bouteflika and al-Bashir from the power, which is the end. The anglers will have a long battle to stop Bouteflika's men's attempts to keep track of name change work. The people of the Sudan have to fight the military and innate vision of the army for their own future.
It is hoped that campaigners in Algeria and Sudan have feared an Arab has no fear of Syria and Yemen, t because dictators in other parts of the region are pushing the people to end the complaints risk t. Algeria and Sudan have once again reopened Pandora's box, and moved on to the next stage of tidy change around the Middle East.
People across the region are looking at events in Sudan and Algeria closely. No attention is drawn to the Iranian host (which was used as a propaganda by the Monarchs of the Gulf). There is again movement in the Middle East again to make changes, and concerns should be concerned.
And since there is a chance that the Middle East relationship will not be fixed by the fight, Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu are willing to choose from Iran. Instead, it may be pulled by the success or failure of the Sudan and Algeria nearby. For the first time, the Middle East poem in countries that are not part of the Arab class's medium classical range.
Both countries have a real chance of making change, but it is still military mathematics that sets the rules for the future.
“We know that nobody ever takes power with it to abandon it”, said George Orwell. The Arab world so far had proved it was correct. We hope the Sudanese and Algerians will see exactly this.