Well: Huaxia Times
International journalist Xu Weijie Times Times (www.chinatimes.net.cn) reporter reporter Yuan Xiaotong Beijing
On the afternoon of December 3, 2018, "New Ideas, New Modules, New Journeys – 2018 Huaxia Real Estate Investment and Investment World Forum and Gold Winning Prize Service" were held at the Beijing Beijing International Beijing International Hotel. The Chinese Continental Digitalization Report Jane was launched at the meeting and was explained by Zou Linhua, head of the Housing Association Data Project, the Institute for Finance and Economics of the Social Sciences Academy. The report shows that the market of the national property estate has improved in October, with the highest first-rate cities descending as market centers. The heat of the second and three-dimensional towns is unstable.
The Household Price Index (BHPI) showed that house prices in 142 towns dropped by 0.296% per month in October this year. The number of townhouse-rich cities rises 58, accounting for 40.8% of the sample, decreasing 61 from June.
In particular, the data shows that first-class towns converted from general decline to general decline. Under strict limitation on buying and lending policy, although current house price increases are being banned, the difference between supply and housing demand continues to be reflected in some hard forms. For example, the rapid increase in housing rent, in particular, reflects the tight supply situation in first-class cities.
In addition, Zou Linhua also analyzes data on other aspects of the northwest market this year: in October, towns have risen to her; first and second level rapidly to the overall correction, and the large estate market was highly dependent on investment demand; Third and fourth-quarter cities saw house prices rising slightly apart. Growing up, the registration rate of new homes is expected to be reverted again; Auditor's indexes are confident and optimistic indexes; falling to the lowest level in the last two years, and the market expects that there is still a lack of difficulty; The moles have major cities in the cities rising rapidly to a steady decline, and the level of rented housing is almost not enough; the market for long-term lease agreements in main settlements has expanded rapidly, and the rent market needs more consistency.
In terms of market situation analysis and its motive strategy in 2019, Zou Linhua discovered that cities have been The first time is now safe places for the building market, and the second and third row heat is not there. First-class towns have a & # 39; going into the stock market, changes in development markets and changes in housing stock are less likely to be. Market changes are particularly dependent on changes in policies, in particular funding conditions, but there is no prospect of more policies. Most of the second, third and fourth tier cities remain in the highest level of housing market. Once & If the sale is not flat, the housing list will be expanded again, so there will be a greater emphasis on housing prices; the regulatory policies will be extended to cities the third and fourth places Smokey activities have been disturbed; changing the shed monetization policy, and the impact of the rapid increase in house prices in the third and fourth-level towns.
At the same time, Zou Linhua analyzed that housing houses in the northwest market had improved slightly. In the first half of 2018, the housing credit market followed by its & confirmation. In the second half of 2018, in particular from the fourth quarter, with rationalized policy such as RRR targeted recreation, market interest rates have declined, and their first home home luggage interest rates in many towns has risen dramatically. The thing was also improved a bit. However, cash policy is still based on the prevention of risk, and the surprise does not reveal "great flood irrigation". The capital chain of some of the development initiatives is relatively tight. In order to continue, the capital strategy will help reduce the reduction of prices, which will affect the housing prices of second and third-sized cities and towns outside first-class towns.
The report fully reviews that the prices of cities in first and second level can be consolidated a little while, with the growth rate of cities third and fourth level; decline. A small number of second and third-sized cities with high-quality housing prices can enter the discharge sector. In the long term, with the growth of funding funding and policy support, a housing development industry will greatly improve.
Editor responsible: Zhang Wei
See more articles in England and take part in the China Times WeChat Interactive (WeChat Research "Times Times" or "Ginatimes")
The original title "Zou Linhua: the overall market of the estate in the hot country, first-class cities come back as market centers"