With a fun understanding, you can tell what plants will disappear


An International Union for Nature Conservation (IUCN, for its English measurement) continually working to name Red List, who analyzes its & # 39; species and classification in regions that are & # 39; come from little worries & # 39; to disappear, going through middle sections.

These classifications are used to explain conservation activities, so they are a "great resource", but they need to be valued individually, which need a proxy protocol, available funding and Attendance of experts to carry out their assessment, makes it a slow process, "he said. Telam Anahí Espindola, co-author of Argentinian study.

"The basic method we used was a random forest, which is known for its ability to disseminate and expand its / telling data, "he said," in this case we will try to predict the likelihood of gender or endangered, and use data co- related to the features of its range of distribution, of their favorite climate conditions and some of its morphological features ".

Espindola, a professor of psychology at the University of Maryland in the United States, explained that "this way allows us to use all the species that I have assessed by IUCN to class & 39; train and create a wide forest, which uses the features of the species as predictor variables. "

"Once a sufficiently detailed classification model is available, we can use the same model on species that we know of the features that are used in its model (range of distribution, climate conditions and morphology) but we do not know how to spread risk. "

In this way, co-author of the article published in the specialist magazine PNAS He said that the use and classification of that data will provide opportunities "Make sure there is a risk that these species are not covered by the IUCN Red List."

The "very useful" system of this system is "relatively accurate and can not be used without accessing computing facilities", it is also a "benefit" be fully based on "public data" (open access), saying that anyone can complete these analyzes and use their results.

"In addition, this method can be adapted to an interesting geographical or taxonomic degree, as it can also be used at national, regional or local levels, and permit species that should be rated by IUCN, "he said. Spindle and explained this device as "helpful and consistent with those evaluations".

Said specialist of the 150,000 species that have been surveyed, "about 10% (15,000) are likely to be related to conservation areas rather than small and small.

"From a global perspective, we will identify areas with higher levels of endangered species of risk, such as some of the Andean regions in the north of South America, or the Brazilian forest Atlantic. " These areas are marked with a high degree of boundaries, and of the presence of many rare species, "he finished.

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